December 22, 2024

Eight players for the Senators have deals that are good for the minimum of the upcoming three seasons. Which contracts are problematic, if any?

The Pittsburgh Penguins’ decision to throw former Senator forward Colin White on waivers Thursday served as a reminder of how difficult it is for general managers in the NHL to assess and guess. It’s difficult to forecast not just if an 18-year-old can play in the league eventually, but also how influential he will be in the future and how much to pay him.

A large number of young athletes today exit entry-level contracts and get potential compensation.

Thus, GMs engage in long-term speculation with the player. The argument also holds that although he appears pricey now, as he gets older, he’ll be a steal.

In August 2019, General Manager Pierre Dorion signed White to a six-year, $28.5 million contract. Due to his ineffectiveness and propensity for injuries, Dorion acquired White after just three seasons. White is still owed $875,000 by the Sens for each of the following four seasons.

Of course, the deal appears bad now, but when it was signed, not many people objected.

Back then, White and Thomas Chabot were practically sworn in. In the first round, they were selected just a few choices apart. Their birthdays coincided exactly. And they both inked long-term contracts in the summer of 2019—just one month apart—heralding better times to come as a new generation of young people emerged.

Since then, Ottawa has used a similar tactic numerous times, spending a lot of money on players who, for the most part, weren’t worth the contract they had just signed but would be in a year or two.

Eight players for the Ottawa Senators are signed for the upcoming three to eight seasons. While some of those offers seem excellent, others might be better.

“I believe these players will be an important part of our core as we move toward our years of unparalleled success,” Dorion effectively said when he gave them his approval.

So let’s guess which long-term investments will hold up the best over time. We’re going to use this as a traffic signal. We will enumerate the eight players who are suspended, along with their contract information and degree of worry.

Tim Stutzle: $8.35 million (AAV) for seven additional years. Even though he is only 22 years old, he is already making his money.

Brady Tkachuk: $8.205 million (AAV) for four additional years. Even in a slump, he’s almost a point-per-game performer with intangibles for days.

Artem Zub: $4.6 million (AAV) for three additional years. Zub is a reasonably priced, reliable, and hard-to-find right-shot defenseman. A wonderful benefit is scoring at a 38-point clip.

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